The S&P 500 printed a new all-time high and NASDAQ bounced on PPI below expectations — the third soft-ish print in a row after in-line CPI and mixed payrolls. OSF, who holds no equities after de-risking two weeks ago, called it a squeeze ('people are short this stuff and it feels like a short squeeze to me') and admitted the first day where strength carried forward means he may have de-risked two weeks early. He floated — then rejected — a small short: 'I never short anything.'
OSF sold his Nebius at $222 — a strong round trip from his $190 entry — but the stock kept ripping, and his Claude-placed limit orders were stacked all the way up, with Claude itself warning 'if it breaches this level, it's gonna squeeze up to here.' He admits he just hasn't been taking profits properly. SpaceX is another one: up 40% off the lows, 'good trade, didn't hold on to it.'
SanDisk jumped 11% on the day and Micron is approaching its $1,000 level again — the zone that has rejected it repeatedly. OSF called the 1,000 level on SanDisk 'a generational buy' he should have held all the way through, and kicked himself for buying Micron at $720 in only tiny size: 'I could have bought size there with a tight stop.' He wants to be more aggressive on dips going forward, but not today.
PONS keeps getting turned back at the 0.051–0.053 zone (as-transcribed '5.1, 5.2, 5.3') while the fundamentals stack higher: another 118K revenue day, burned supply now at 27.3% and rising about a point a week, 65% market share of fees in the last 24 hours with KNOX (as-transcribed) the only other player, and revenue momentum +16% week-over-week — flipping green for the first time in a week. OSF's entry is 0.018 with an average-up at 0.02, so he isn't adding here, but says if he had no position he'd be buying this dip: 'these numbers are strong and the price drops — for me that's an opportunity.'
STONKBROKER is down hard after people caught wind of its launchpad via test transactions, coins launched from it, and — per Simplepharma (as-transcribed) — 'scams' that went to zero, sparking controversy and selling. OSF is glad he didn't FOMO in at the top; this is the first real major pullback and his rule is to buy the post-launch dip, not the launch-day high. Not in buy territory yet — he'd want the market cap below PONS — but 'definitely have my eyes on it.'
The PONS-ecosystem cat keeps ripping — 33 million market cap as of yesterday, with 3.5 million in 24-hour volume — and OSF, who owns none, says he'd love to see it get up to CASHCAT levels. He's deliberately avoiding memes: 'if you're up big on meme coins, absolutely take profits — you just don't know when it gets found.'
OSF shared his unreleased ChatGPT/Codex-built token screener on stream: a coin it flagged at a 5K market cap (SESTRY, as-transcribed) ran all the way to 5 million — the kind of 10x-plus call the tool is meant to surface. Backtesting the alerts: 303 unique contracts got watch or notable accumulation alerts, 63 had a fresh price before the alert, and of those 63, 43% were at least a 2x with about 6% reaching 10x (as-transcribed standouts: token mm 68x, hypnotized 21x, the bull 9x, pandy 8.5x). FOMO floated the thesis that SESTRY is from the dev of GRASS. The blocker is cost — the on-chain pulls are chewing through API budget — and a trading bot off it is a regulated idea he can't run himself, though he could ship the screener to Pro members.
A listener compared the BTC/ETH tight range to the tail end of the 2022 bear, but OSF disagrees — it feels more like 2023, when Pepe ran, Bonk started, and on-chain activity thrived inside a boring price tape. His take: stability lets narratives form, and Robinhood-chain is maybe 'Solana spring 23, not December 23' — a few hundred to a few thousand active traders, which he reads as early, not wrong. 'It's good for on-chain activity to have this stability.'